Clinical Epigenetics
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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Clinical Epigenetics's content profile, based on 60 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Joshi, M.; Carre, C.; Cevirgel, A.; Bijvank, E.; Chabaud-Riou, M.; Courtois, V.; Chautard, E.; Larocque, D.; Burny, W.; Beckers, L.; Buisman, A.-M.; Rots, N.; van der Heiden, M.; van Beek, J.; van Sleen, Y.; van Baarle, D.
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Vaccine responses vary across individuals due to differences in ageing and health status. Using transcriptomic profiling, we analyzed early gene expression profiles after influenza (QIV) followed by pneumococcal (PCV13) vaccination in 148 participants spanning young, middle-aged, and older adults. The two vaccines induced distinct immune signatures: QIV elicited innate and interferon immune activation, while PCV13 triggered inflammation-based responses. Older adults showed weaker but similar transcriptomic profiles compared to young adults. Among older adults, frailty, in addition to age, was strongly associated with reduced innate responses. In addition, we identified associations between early-stage transcriptomic profiles and later-stage antibody responses for QIV; however, no such associations were observed for PCV13. Importantly, observed group differences arose not from altered immune modules but from differences in the magnitude of gene expression, paving the way for immune-boosting interventions to enhance early gene expression in at-risk populations.
Luo, X.; Syreeni, A.; Hill, C.; Smyth, L. J.; Dahlstrom, E. H.; Mutter, S.; Chen, Z.; Natarajan, R.; Pan, S.; Parton, A.; Jackson, H.; McKay, G.; Susztak, K.; Hirschhorn, J. N.; Florez, J. C.; Maxwell, A. P.; Groop, P.-H.; McKnight, A. J.; Sandholm, N.
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Hyperglycaemia is a hallmark of diabetes and a major risk factor for diabetic kidney disease (DKD). However, the molecular consequences of long-term cumulative hyperglycaemia (CH) remain unclear. As a stable epigenetic modification, DNA methylation may capture past glycaemic exposure. Here, we assessed CH-associated DNA methylation in 1,245 participants with type 1 diabetes (T1D) from Finland and the United Kingdom-Republic of Ireland cohorts. We identified 17 CH-associated CpGs, with the strongest association at cg19693031 (TXNIP). Longitudinal analyses demonstrate that these CH-associated DNA methylation levels remain stable despite short-term glycaemic fluctuations, suggesting lasting epigenetic imprints of earlier metabolic control. Integrative analyses combining genomic, epigenetic, and proteomic data characterized these CpGs and potential target proteins. Mendelian randomization suggested a causal association between cg20853880 (KLF11) and DKD, supported by chromatin accessibility and kidney KLF11 expression. Our findings suggest that epigenetic changes contribute to metabolic memory and may mediate the effects of hyperglycaemia on DKD.
Hasan, A.; Demidova, E. V.; Priyadarshini, P.; Czyzewicz, P.; Gathuka, L.; Murayama, T.; Zhou, Y.; Kiss, Z. A.; Shastry, R. K.; Andrake, M.; Hearne, G.; Devarajan, K.; Wu, C.; Shah, A.; Schultz, B. M.; Connolly, D. C.; Rosen, G. L.; Canadas, I.; Liu, J. C.; Burtness, B. A.; Smith, J. J.; Dunbrack, R. L.; Golemis, E. A.; Whetstine, J. R.; Meyer, J. E.; Arora, S.
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Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard-of-care therapy for many solid malignancies, yet predictive biomarkers of treatment response remain limited. We identified a germline single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in an intrinsically disordered region of the lysine demethylase KDM3C/JMJD1C (p.S464T) that is associated with CRT outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HNSCC). In silico modeling with AlphaFold predicted S464T substitution influenced interaction between phosphorylated KDM3C and RNF8 FHA domain. In cellular models, conversion of S464 to T464 increased sensitivity to DNA-damaging agents. S464T substitution impaired damage-induced MDC1-RAP80 signaling and downstream RAP80-BRCA1 colocalization. SNP carrying cells impaired DNA repair causing genotoxic stress that is associated with increased cGAS-cGAMP innate immune signaling and increased apoptosis. Population analyses with the SNP highlighted an increase incidence of UV-induced skin and other cancers, linking inherited variation in the chromatin regulatory gene KDM3C to genome instability, cancer risk, and therapeutic vulnerability.
Lin, N.; Balasubramanian, R.; Menichetti, G.; Eliassen, H.; Trabert, B.; Avila-Pacheco, J.; Townsend, M. K.; Terry, K. L.; Clish, C. B.; Tworoger, S. S.; Zeleznik, O. A.
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Background: Evidence suggests chronic distress influences ovarian cancer (OC) etiology and metabolomic profiles. Here, we evaluated the association of a metabolite-based distress score (MDS) and OC risk. Methods: We included two matched case-control studies nested within the Nurses' Health Studies (N=584) and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (N=348). Metabolites were measured 3-27 years before diagnosis using liquid-chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. We examined the association of quintiles of MDS and 19 constituent metabolites with OC risk using unconditional logistic regression and stratified by tumor histotype, menopausal status, and age at diagnosis. Results: We observed women in the highest versus lowest quintile of MDS had an increased OC risk (OR=1.62,95%CI=1.03-2.54,ptrend=0.07), and type 2 tumors (OR=1.71,95%CI=1.03-2.83,ptrend=0.11). Associations were suggestively stronger for premenopausal and <69-year-old women, and driven by pseudouridine, and N2,N2-dimethylguanosine. Conclusion: Our findings suggest chronic distress-associated metabolic dysregulation may represent a novel OC risk factor, especially among younger women.
Yelgi, A.; Tavangari, S.; Shakarami, Z.; Janfaza, S.
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Accurate epigenetic age prediction from DNA methylation profiles is intrinsically high-dimensional, creating a need for parsimonious models that preserve predictive performance while reducing the number of assayed cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) loci. This study introduces MOSurvivor, a population-based multi-objective search framework that jointly optimizes a weight-threshold CpG selector and eight XGBoost hyperparameters. Experiments used the GSE40279 whole-blood cohort (656 individuals profiled on the Illumina HumanMethylation450 platform). After retaining 1,000 age-correlated CpGs, five strategies were evaluated on the same 30 seeded 80:20 train/test splits: fixed-parameter XGBoost using all 1,000 CpGs, random search, a genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization, and MOSurvivor. Internal fitness was estimated using three-fold cross-validation on each training set. Across the 30 held-out test sets, MOSurvivor achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.149 {+/-} 0.300 years, root mean squared error of 5.545 {+/-} 0.392 years, and R2 of 0.855{+/-} 0.027 while retaining 211.6 {+/-} 54.8 CpGs. Relative to full-feature XGBoost (MAE 4.095 {+/-} 0.285 years), MOSurvivor reduced the feature set by 78.8% at an MAE increase of only 0.054 years (1.3%). Paired Wilcoxon tests found no significant accuracy difference between MOSurvivor and any comparator (all unadjusted p > 0.05; all Holm-adjusted p [≥] 0.476). The most recurrent locus, cg16867657, appeared in 29 runs, whereas mean pairwise Jaccard similarity was 0.124, indicating a small stable core embedded in multiple near-equivalent feature subsets. MOSurvivor thus offers a competitive accuracy-parsimony trade-off rather than superior absolute accuracy. External validation and leakage-free nested feature preselection remain necessary before biological or clinical translation. Keywords: epigenetic clock, DNA methylation, feature selection, multi-objective optimization, XGBoost, metaheuristics, biological aging.
Baousi, A.; Dobinda, K.; Zhu, J.; Yu, X.; Muir, K.; Lophatananon, A.; McMillan, B.; Clarkson, P.; Tang, E. Y. H.; Guo, H.
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Background Phenotypic age acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel), derived from PhenoAge, and MetaboHealth are composite exposures of biological ageing and metabolic health associated with dementia-related outcomes. Whether these associations are causal and reflect the exposures, constituent biomarkers, or both remains unclear. Methods This study included UK Biobank participants of White British genetic ancestry. MetaboHealth was derived from nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) metabolomics and PhenoAgeAccel from clinical biomarkers and chronological age. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) were conducted for MetaboHealth (n=272,568) and PhenoAgeAccel (n=274,077). Independent genome-wide significant variants were used as genetic instruments in two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) with FinnGen all-cause dementia summary statistics. Inverse-variance weighting was the primary MR method. Causal network analysis estimated relationships among constituent biomarkers and dementia. Findings GWAS identified 126 and 141 independent genome-wide significant variants for MetaboHealth and PhenoAgeAccel, of which 109 and 141 were retained as genetic instruments. MR found no evidence of a causal effect of genetically predicted MetaboHealth (per unit: OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.49-1.42; p=0.51) or PhenoAgeAccel (per year: OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.95-1.02; p=0.44) on all-cause dementia, with consistent findings across sensitivity analyses and robust MR methods. Lower lymphocyte percentage and higher NMR-derived glucose had direct relationships with dementia in the joint constituent-biomarker network. Interpretation MR provided no evidence that either composite exposure causally influenced dementia. The network prioritised lymphocyte percentage and NMR-derived glucose, supporting examination of composite exposures alongside their constituent biomarkers. Funding NIHR, UKRI, MRC, UK Dementia Research Institute, Innovate UK, and European Union. Full funding details are provided in the acknowledgements.
Layman, C. E.; Morrow, D.; Wheeler, K.; Caron, T. J.; Davis, B. A.; Bergstrom, P.; Vigh-Conrad, K.; Anderson, T. J.; McElfresh, G. W.; Sterner, K. N.; Sadoughi, B.; Snyder-Mackler, N.; Hansen, S. G.; Bimber, B. N.; Lancioni, C.; Carbone, L.; Okhovat, M.
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Wildfire smoke is an escalating global public health threat exposing millions of people, including children, to hazardous air pollution each year. Although wildfire smoke toxicants have been linked to a range of adverse health outcomes, including immune dysregulation, the long-term consequences of real-world pediatric wildfire smoke exposure on health and development remain largely unknown. To investigate the persistent effects of early-life exposure on immune health, here we leveraged a cohort of rhesus macaques that experienced nine consecutive days of hazardous wildfire smoke exposure in infancy during the 2020 Oregon Labor Day wildfires. By integrating ex vivo immune stimulations, multiplex cytokine profiling, single-cell transcriptomics, and genome-wide DNA methylation profiling, we identified persistent immunological consequences across molecular and functional levels. We found that a single severe postnatal exposure, in the first three months of life, was associated with persistent change in the innate immune response, including reduced pro-inflammatory cytokine response to a bacterial endotoxin, with subtle but consistent transcriptional changes in myeloid cells, particularly among males. Wildfire smoke exposure was also associated with changes in proportion of B and T/NK cells, and within the T/NK cell compartment, exposed animals exhibited an expansion of cytotoxic cells. Consistent with this, CD8+ T cells displayed extensive transcriptional remodeling and shifted toward more differentiated effector states, with the greatest differentiation observed in animals exposed at the youngest ages. Genome-wide DNA methylation profiling identified smoke-associated methylation changes consistent with acceleration of epigenetic aging, as well as persistent epigenetic alterations impacting genes involved in oxidative stress responses, innate immunity, T cell differentiation, and hematopoiesis. These findings demonstrate that a single severe wildfire smoke exposure during a critical developmental window is associated with extensive immune and epigenetic remodeling that persist years after exposure, providing new insight into the long-term biological consequences of early-life wildfire smoke exposure.
Weyrich, M.; Ware, A.; Steixner-Kumar, A.; Windschmitt, J.; Sarakpi, T.; Abplanalp, W.; Dimmeler, S.; Speer, T.; Zeiher, A. M.
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Clonal hematopoiesis (CH) increases with age, but whether different somatic clones represent an ageing phenotype or exert distinct systemic effects is unclear. In 450,587 UK Biobank participants, including 46,324 with plasma proteomics, we compared clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and mosaic loss of chromosome Y (mLOY) or X (mLOX) across biological ageing, incident disease, and circulating proteins. Despite shared age dependence, these alterations showed distinct disease spectra: non-DNMT3A CHIP was associated with broad multisystem disease burden, mLOY with a more focused respiratory, musculoskeletal and cardiovascular profile, whereas mLOX lacked broad age-related disease associations. Clone burden mapped to distinct proteomic programs: mLOY to neutrophil degranulation and extracellular-matrix remodeling, non-DNMT3A CHIP to myeloid immune regulation, and mLOX unexpectedly to cytotoxic lymphocyte/NK-cell responses. Mendelian randomization supported selected protein-disease relationships. Thus, age-related hematopoietic clones are not interchangeable markers of ageing but define alteration-specific systemic programs associated with distinct disease vulnerabilities.
Tiwari, P.; Garg, M.; Pattanayak, S.; Sarkar, I.; Roy, R.; Bhatraju, N.; Verma, A.; K, S. R.; Prakash, S.; Kumar, V. S.; Uddin, M. A.; Rawat, N.; Sahu, A.; Kumar, Y.; Leuva, P. H.; Mridha, A.; Yenamandra, V.; Singh, A. P.; Mishra, A.; Raychaudhuri, S.; Tallapaka, K. B.; Chandak, G. R.; Kulkarni, M. J.; Dharne, M.; Wahengbam, R.; Kalita, J.; Manna, P.; Subudhi, U.; Majumder, S.; Chakraborty, P.; Chaudhary, K.; Sengupta, S.; Phenome India Consortium, ; Sardana, V.; Chatterjee, S.; Ganguly, D.
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Background: India has a rising incidence of chronic non-communicable diseases, making it a major healthcare burden today. Growing evidence suggests that chronic low-grade inflammation links ageing with cardiometabolic disorders, captured by the emerging concept of inflammaging. However, most evidence on biological ageing comes from Western populations, with no similar models developed for the Indian population. Given the country's distinctive genetic makeup, unique exposome, and heterogeneous NCD presentation, Western models may not capture inflammaging and its effects in the Indian population. Methods: We analysed baseline data from 4,240 adults in the Phenome India CSIR Health Cohort Knowledgebase (PI CheCK), a nationwide multi-centre cohort. Participants were stratified into eight cardiometabolic phenotype groups by BMI (Asian cut off), blood pressure and HbA1c status. We trained a Super Learner ensemble to predict chronological age in the lean normotensive-normoglycaemic reference group (n=615) using 44 plasma cytokines, sex, haemoglobin, and bioimpedance-derived visceral fat area, per cent body fat, and total body water. Performance was assessed by repeated five-fold cross-validation and in a held-out healthy test set. Calibrated biological age acceleration was then estimated in the remaining 3,625 participants. Results: Median age was 51.0 years (IQR 41.0 to 62.0) and 49.4% were female. The Super Learner outperformed elastic net and XGBoost comparators. Permutation importance identified visceral fat area, per cent body fat, CTACK, SDF1a, haemoglobin and sex as leading contributors, with body composition measures accounting for the largest share, indicating an immune-metabolic rather than cytokine-only signal. Biological age acceleration was concentrated in overweight/obese phenotypes. Lean phenotypes showed acceleration close to the reference (0.32 0.50 years). Conclusions: Cytokine and body composition measures capture a quantifiable immunometabolic ageing signal in a South Asian cohort, with acceleration driven predominantly by adiposity. External validation and longitudinal follow up are required.
Yuan, Y.; Qiao, Y.; Chen, X.; Wang, Y.; Zhao, W.; Zheng, X.; Zhang, X.; Niu, G.; Wu, Y.
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Background Excess sodium intake is a major contributor to the global burden of disease, but its role in infection susceptibility remains largely unexplored. Although sodium has been considered antimicrobial, high sodium intake may impair immune responses and host defense. We therefore examined whether habitual addition of salt to foods was associated with the long-term risk of incident infections. Methods We included 360,314 UK Biobank participants without prior hospital-treated infections. Frequency of adding salt to foods was self-reported at baseline. Incident infections were identified using ICD-10 codes from hospital and death records. Associations were assessed using multivariable Cox regression. Results Over a median follow-up of 14.3 years, 84?146 participants developed hospital-treated infections. Compared with those who never or rarely added salt, participants who sometimes, usually, and always added salt had progressively higher risks of incident infections (adjusted hazard ratios 1.04 [95% CI 1.03?1.06], 1.08 [1.06?1.11], and 1.29 [1.26?1.33], respectively; p for trend <0.001). The association remained robust across models and broadly consistent across pathogen types and infection sites. The association appeared stronger among participants with normal weight (P for interaction <0.001). Conclusions Habitual addition of salt to foods was associated with a dose-dependent higher risk of hospital-treated infections in this large prospective cohort. These findings extend the potential health relevance of excess sodium intake beyond cardiometabolic disease and suggest that lower habitual salt intake may have implications for infection risk. Further studies are needed to replicate these findings and clarify the underlying immunological mechanisms.
Thiessen, K. A.; Breslin, F. J.; Kerr, K. L.
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Adolescent substance use is a major public health concern due to increased risk of future physical and mental health conditions. Fronto-striatal functioning - particularly regarding inhibition and reward processing - may increase vulnerability to high-risk substance use. However, it remains unclear if these neurobiological differences precede substance use or are consequences of it. The ongoing Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study follows over 10000 youth, offering an unprecedented opportunity to longitudinally examine substance use patterns throughout development. We utilized family-clustered time-varying Cox proportional hazard models to prospectively examine main and interaction effects of right Inferior Frontal Gyrus (IFG) inhibitory control and bilateral nucleus accumbens (NAc) reward response, alongside early life adversity and peer substance use as predictors of alcohol and cannabis onset in the ABCD Study. We identified a significant crossover interaction such that left NAc activity had a slight positive association with first full alcoholic drink in the context of higher right IFG activity but a negative association in the context of lower right IFG activity. However, peer alcohol and cannabis use emerged as the strongest predictors of outcomes. Alcohol onset was also more common in females, and early life adversity was associated only with cannabis onset. Findings indicate that interactions between inhibition- and reward-related brain regions may impact risk for early substance use onset, but these effects may be modest relative to socioenvironmental factors. Additionally, divergent alcohol and cannabis findings suggest that risk profiles are substance specific. Peer-focused strategies should be considered in preventive efforts.
Sawyer, G.; Farooq, B.; Birnie, K.; Fraser, A.; Lawlor, D. A.; Sharp, G. C.; Howe, L. D.
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Background: Inequalities exist for many health outcomes, but there is limited evidence regarding menstrual symptoms despite their importance for health and wellbeing. We aimed to investigate inequalities in menstrual symptoms according to socioeconomic position and childhood adversity. Methods: In two generations (G0 mothers and G1 offspring) from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective cohort study, we examined associations of multiple indicators of socioeconomic position (SEP) and adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) with menstrual symptoms (pain, abnormal uterine bleeding, and premenstrual syndrome (PMS) measured 3-8-years post-birth in G0 and 17-21-years-old in G1), using multivariable logistic regression. Samples ranged from 4,828 to 9,335 G0 participants and 1,288 to 2,757 G1 participants depending on the exposure-outcome association. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation and inverse probability weighting. Results: Financial difficulties were associated with greater odds of menstrual pain (G1 OR 1.41; 95% CI 1.07, 1.86: G0 OR 1.55; 95% CI 1.36, 1.76) and irregular cycles (G1 OR 1.60; 95% CI 1.12, 2.29: G0 OR 1.48; 95% CI 1.27, 1.72) in both generations, as well as with short/long cycle lengths in G0 only. Lower education and manual social class were also associated with these three menstrual symptoms in at least one generation. Conversely, higher SEP was associated with PMS in both generations. Higher cumulative ACEs were consistently associated with menstrual pain (4+ compared to none: G1 OR 2.15; 95% CI 1.48, 3.11: G0 OR 1.52; 95% CI 1.29, 1.80) and irregular cycles (G1 OR 1.92; 95% CI 1.20, 3.09: G0 OR 1.54; 95% CI 1.26, 1.87) but not cycle length. Lower parental education, financial difficulties, and cumulative ACEs were associated with heavy bleeding in G1 offspring only, whereas financial difficulties, own manual social class, and cumulative ACEs were associated with prolonged bleeding in G0 mothers only. Higher cumulative ACEs were also associated with PMS in G1 offspring only. Conclusions: We found evidence of inequalities according to socioeconomic disadvantage and childhood adversity for multiple menstrual symptoms, although some associations were only observed in one generation. Findings suggest that menstrual symptoms are disproportionately experienced by socially and socioeconomically disadvantaged women.
pathak, s.; Richardson, T.; Sanderson, E.; Arora, N.; Strand, L.; Asvold, B. O.; Bhatta, L.; Brumpton, B.
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Background: Higher Body Mass Index (BMI) is an established risk factor of sleep disturbance. It is not known if the effect is homogeneous across the lifecourse or if there is a particular time point in life that might be best to target. Methods: Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to investigated the effect of childhood adiposity (adjusting on adulthood adiposity and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)) on insomnia, morning chronotype, sleep duration, daytime sleepiness and daytime napping. Similarly, total, and direct effect of adulthood adiposity on these outcomes was explored. We used summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of UK Biobank for childhood and adulthood adiposity (n=453,169) and large-scale consortia of OSA (Million Veteran Program) (n=410,268), insomnia, and chronotype (23andMe) (n=1,978,022 and n=248,1000, respectively). Results: Two-sample univariable MR analysis provided no evidence of an effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (Odds ratio (OR)= 0.94, 95% Confidence interval (CI)= 0.87, 1.03). Whereas, multivariable MR (adjusted for adulthood adiposity) analysis provide strong evidence of direct protective effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (OR= 0.70, CI= 0.64, 0.77). Further, both in univariable and multivariable MR, a strong positive effect of increased childhood body size on morning chronotype was observed (OR= 1.16, CI= 1.01, 1.33 and OR= 1.36, CI= 1.15, 1.62, respectively) after accounting for adulthood body size. In both analysis the estimate did not change considerably after aditionally adjusting for OSA. However, childhood and adulthood adiposity found to be associated with OSA and OSA with insomnia. In both univariable and multivariable analysis, increased body size in adulthood increased the risk of having insomnia and a morning chronotype. Conclusions: The findings suggest that higher body size in childhood is not a risk factor for later life insomnia, whereas higher body size in adulthood was. Further, if healthy body size is maintained in adulthood, high childhood adiposity may decrease the risk of insomnia and increase the risk of being a morning person in later life. Keywords: childhood, adulthood, obesity, insomnia, morning chronotype, medelian randomization
Chia, C.; Baker, K.
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Obesity is a significant public health concern. Early-onset obesity in the context of rare disease can reflect genetically-mediated pathology or elevated susceptibility through indirect mechanisms. Mapping the diverse characteristics and needs of young people with obesity in the rare disease population is a first step toward mechanistic and translational research. We carried out a retrospective comparative analysis of demographic, genotypic, phenotypic and health service utilisation data for young people with obesity (cases: n=500) and without obesity (controls: n=11,444) from the UK 100,000 Genomes Project rare disease cohort. Cases and controls were recruited prior to genomic diagnosis, across clinical disorder categories. We observed significant association between socioeconomic deprivation and obesity risk. Young people with obesity had significantly higher utilisations of acute care and mental health services, indicating an overall higher health burden. A curated panel of 519 candidate obesity-associated genes demonstrated aggregate association with obesity, although no single gene reached significance. Phenotypic comparison between cases and controls highlighted increased multi-organ and neurological system involvement, highlighting the overlap between neurodevelopmental and obesity risks. Within the case group, we conducted cluster analysis to identify early-onset obesity groups with different phenotypic profiles, potentially arising from different causal pathways - this identified six obesity subgroups of interest, with differing involvement of neurodevelopmental and other systems. Our study confirms that obesity co-occurs with a wide range of factors within the rare disease population, and is associated with significant physical and mental health needs, requiring holistic lifelong care.
Ghuman, D.; Achar, T.; Gambhirrao, D.
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Background Alcohol-associated injury is a leading cause of emergency department (ED) utilization in the United States and a clinically important driver of preventable morbidity across the adult lifespan. Prior surveillance research has characterized how the rate and severity of alcohol-associated injury vary by patient age, but whether the seasonal timing of injury risk is equally predictable across age groups (a question directly relevant to the timing of clinical screening intensification and public health intervention) has not been formally tested. Methods We conducted a retrospective surveillance analysis of 45,876 alcohol-associated ED visits among adults aged 18 years and older, identified from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS), 2019-2025 (weighted national estimate: 2,092,319 visits), using the structured Alcohol_Involved indicator introduced into NEISS case abstraction in 2019. Patients were stratified by sex and five age groups (18-24, 25-34, 35-49, 50-64, and [≥]65 years). Single-harmonic cosinor (Poisson) regression was used to estimate the seasonal peak day of injury risk (acrophase) for each stratum. To assess reliability, we performed leave-one-year-out jackknife resampling (seven iterations per group), case-resampling bootstrap confidence intervals (1,000 iterations), and likelihood-ratio tests of seasonal-phase interactions. Results Peak injury timing differed significantly across age groups (X^2 [8] = 2356.2, p < .0001). Adults aged 25-64 years showed a highly reproducible early-to-mid-July peak, with jackknife estimates shifting [≤]14 days when any single study year was excluded. Adults aged [≥]65 years showed significant seasonal variation annually (all p < .0001, amplitude comparable to younger groups) but a pooled peak estimate that shifted by up to 100 days across jackknife iterations. Sex-stratified analyses revealed that this instability was driven entirely by females aged [≥]65 years (jackknife range: 332 days, peak consistently in late October through early January) rather than males aged [≥]65 (jackknife range: 31 days, peak consistently in early August). Hospital admission rates increased monotonically with age from 9.0% (18-24 years) to 31.8% ([≥]65 years). Conclusions Alcohol-associated injury follows a reproducible, calendar-stable summer seasonal pattern in adults aged 25-64 years. Among adults [≥]65 years, the previously reported temporal instability is concentrated in the female subgroup, whose seasonal injury risk does not converge on a fixed calendar window. These findings suggest that fixed-calendar prevention and screening strategies are well suited to working-age adults and older men, but older women may require a year-round, individually tailored approach. Keywords: Alcohol-related injury; Emergency department; Seasonality; Age factors; Sex differences; Injury surveillance; Cosinor analysis; Older adults
Goroshchuk, O.; Koller, D.
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Background: Endometriosis affects approximately 10% of reproductive-age women and is associated with substantial diagnostic delay and heterogeneous symptom presentation. Prior machine-learning prediction models have relied on comorbidity data alone or on small candidate-variant genetic scores, with inconsistent or incompletely reported performance. No study has combined a well-powered, multi-ancestry polygenic risk score (PRS) with environmental, reproductive, and symptom data in a single hybrid model. We developed and evaluated hybrid risk-prediction models integrating a genome-wide, multi-ancestry PRS with clinical and symptom data for endometriosis in the US-based All of Us Research Program. Methods: Among 69,376 participants (15,382 endometriosis cases, 53,994 controls) across six genetically inferred ancestry groups, we computed individual-level PRS values using PRS-CS weights derived from an independent, multi-ancestry GWAS. Five nested logistic regression, random forest, and XGBoost models progressively added age, ancestry, and within-ancestry genetic principal components (Model 1), environmental and reproductive factors (Model 2), symptom and comorbidity indicators (Model 3), all covariates combined (Model 4), and PRS x environment interactions (Model 5). Performance was assessed by AUROC in a held-out test set and 5-fold cross-validation, with class-weighted, Youden-optimized thresholds used for sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values; permutation importance identified top contributors. Pairwise AUROC differences were tested with a Holm-corrected DeLong-type test. Results: Discrimination improved from AUROC 0.63 (PRS, age, ancestry, principal components) to 0.72 for the full model, driven mainly by symptom and comorbidity data. XGBoost consistently outperformed logistic regression and random forest. The PRS ranked among the top individual predictors by permutation importance in nearly every model, alongside age, while genetic and demographic information alone gave only modest discrimination, and PRS x environment interactions did not improve on environmental factors alone. Threshold optimization yielded balanced sensitivity and specificity (~0.67/0.65) versus near-zero sensitivity at a default threshold. Conclusions: Combining the PRS with symptom and comorbidity data gave the best discrimination compared to solely a well-powered, multi-ancestry PRS as a predictor of endometriosis. This study clarifies both the promise and current limits of hybrid genetic-clinical prediction for endometriosis and points to symptom-based phenotyping, molecular subtyping, and external validation as priorities.
Brodtmann, A.; Patel, S.; Restrepo, C.; Khlif, M. S.; Werden, E.; Ellis, R.; Alsawaf, S.; Ekinci, E. I.; Srivastava, P. M.; Ramchand, J.; MacIsaac, R. J.; Churilov, L.; Burrell, L. M.
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BACKGROUND People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at higher risk of cerebral small vessel disease and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), potentially contributing to cognitive decline and dementia. We aimed to describe brain volume and cognitive trajectories over 2 years in a cohort of people with T2DM and to determine whether LVH causes increased brain atrophy and cognitive decline. METHODS Diabetes and Dementia (D2) study is a multicentre observational cohort study in Melbourne, Australia. Participants aged >50 years were recruited via 2 hospital outpatient clinics, 3 private clinics, and study advertisements. Participants with pre-existing cognitive impairment, life-limiting medical illness, and severe chronic renal impairment were excluded. Participants attended study visits for brain MRI, transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and cognitive testing at baseline and 2 years. The exposure was LVH determined on baseline TTE. Pre-specified outcomes were total brain volume (TBV) change and cognitive decline (z-score change?-1 in any cognitive domain) over 2 years. Regression analyses examined associations between baseline variables and outcomes. A causal inference approach was utilized using inverse probability of treatment weighting to standardize for confounding covariates, excluding participants for non-positivity on age and baseline TBV. RESULTS Participants were recruited 20May2016 to 20March2020: 2378 screened, 702 eligible, 196 consented, 150 baseline and 123 2-year assessments with complete MRI, TTE, and cognitive data (17.4% attrition). At baseline, LVH was associated with female sex, older age, lower educational attainment, lower mood, hypertension, obesity, beta-blocker use, and smaller TBV. Participants with baseline cognitive impairment exhibited greater brain atrophy. Lower educational attainment, hypertension, and lower baseline cognitive scores were associated with cognitive decline. Causal inference analysis included 62 participants with no LVH (20(32%) women; mean [SD]=66.9[5.9] years), and 31 with LVH (17(55%) women, 67.4[5.4] years). LVH caused lower TBV change: standardized mean difference (95% CI) 6.3 (0.1, 12.5) cm3, P=.048. LVH had no effect on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS Brain atrophy and cognitive decline were associated with baseline cognitive impairment. LVH caused less brain atrophy and cognitive decline in people with T2DM. We conclude that guideline-directed LVH therapies such as beta-blockers have both cardioprotective (remodelling) and neuroprotective effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION ACTRN12616000546459 UTN: U1111-1181-6659
Page, S.; Easey, K.; Sedgewick, F.; Rai, D.; Stergiakouli, E.
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A body of research suggests that autistic individuals are less likely to drink alcohol than neurotypicals. However, emerging studies support a link between autism and alcohol use. This complex relationship is also reflected in studies that have examined the genetic overlap between the two traits. However, it is unclear whether there is a direct causal relationship between them. To explore this, we applied a combination of polygenic score and Mendelian randomisation analyses using publicly available genome-wide summary statistics and phenotypic measures of autism and alcohol consumption from UK Biobank. LD score regression analyses did not provide evidence of a genetic correlation between genetic liability for autism and drinks consumed per week (rg=-0.08; CI95%=-0.19, 0.03). Further, findings from polygenic score analyses did not support an association between genetic liability for autism and overall monthly alcohol intake. Univariable Mendelian randomisation analyses showed little evidence for a total effect of autism, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) or depression on overall monthly alcohol consumption. Multivariable Mendelian randomisation analyses also showed little evidence of a direct effect of autism on drinks per week when controlling for ADHD and depression. It is plausible that genetic liability for autism does not directly increase the amount of alcohol consumed but instead operates via commonly co-occurring difficulties in the autistic community. However, our findings may be due to methodological shortcomings, including weak instruments biasing effects towards to the null. Consequently, results should be interpreted with caution and further research conducted to address these issues.
Wang, B.; Mukherjee, S.; Baj, A.; Trostel, S. Y.; Lis, R. T.; Whitlock, N. C.; Ku, A. T.; Heyward, K. E.; Kartal, S.; Wang, K.; Voznesensky, O. S.; Calagua, C.; Siddiqui, J.; Martin, R. S.; Kollath, L. A.; Custer, J.; Michael, P. D.; Kunju, L. P.; Lake, R.; Harris, C. C.; Aldape, K. D.; True, L. D.; Tatsuoka, C.; Fertig, E. J.; Chinnaiyan, A.; Gurram, S.; Pinto, P. A.; Weiner, A. B.; Morrissey, C.; Salami, S. S.; Einstein, D. J.; Balk, S. P.; Sowalsky, A. G.; Ruppin, E.
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Background: Biochemical recurrence (BCR) occurs in 20-40% of men after radical prostatectomy. Existing postoperative recurrence risk tools based on PSA and pathology are clinically useful but show only moderate and variable discrimination, highlighting the need for biomarkers that improve risk stratification and consequent treatment decisions. We hypothesized that the prostate microenvironment, including both the tumor and non-cancerous adjacent tissue, may contain prognostic features associated with adverse postoperative PSA outcomes. Methods: We assembled a cohort of matched tumor-adjacent benign and tumor prostate tissue from 243 men across three institutions to establish a discovery cohort (n=123; 43 postoperative PSA events, 35%) and validation cohort (n=120; 46 events, 38%). For primary binary analyses, a postoperative PSA event included BCR, defined as two consecutive postoperative PSA values >=0.2 ng/mL, or PSA persistence. We performed RNA sequencing of matched tumor-adjacent benign and tumor tissues, quantified immune signatures, and developed an integrated model combining the adjacent-tissue B-cell signature, preoperative PSA, and radical prostatectomy Gleason score (BRIGADE). CAPRA-S-adjusted Cox analyses excluding recurrence-time-0 cases evaluated time to BCR, and CD19 multiplex immunofluorescence provided tissue-level confirmation (n=10). Results: In prostatectomy specimens, tumors from patients without a postoperative PSA event were enriched for B-cell transcriptional programs, whereas tumors from event-positive patients showed elevated proliferation signatures. B-cell-related transcriptional programs were correlated between tumor and adjacent tissue. Tumor-adjacent benign B-cell scores were higher in no-event cases and discriminated postoperative PSA-event status in PCBN discovery (AUC 0.63) and BM validation (AUC 0.81) cohorts, outperforming numerous other immune-related signatures. In CAPRA-S-adjusted Cox sensitivity analyses excluding recurrence-time-0 cases, higher adjacent-tissue B-cell activity was associated with reduced recurrence risk in PCBN (HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.19-0.94; BH-adjusted p=0.035) and BM (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.30-0.95; BH-adjusted p=0.034). Tissue-based validation showed that CD19+ B-cell density in adjacent benign tissue was higher in no-event than event-positive patients (median 0.1145 vs 0.0471; p=0.008). BRIGADE achieved an AUC of 0.68 in cross-validation and 0.83 in independent validation, compared to AUCs of 0.54-0.63 and 0.44-0.78 for the tested clinical predictors, respectively. At the fixed classification threshold, the validation-cohort odds ratio for BRIGADE was 2.75. The adjacent B-cell score remained associated with lower odds of a postoperative PSA event after adjustment for PSA and Gleason score. Conclusions: B-cell infiltration in tumor-adjacent benign prostate tissue may complement existing clinicopathologic models for stratifying adverse postoperative PSA outcomes and subsequent BCR after radical prostatectomy. The transcriptomic signal was recapitulated by CD19-based tissue staining, supporting further development of a pathology-based assay.
Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [≤]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [≤]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [≤]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.